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Game and Parks Order
Issued June 26, 1998
CONCLUSIONS
Non-game and
endangered species provisions of Chapter 37.
Instream flow
appropriation provisions of Chapter 46.
Wet Meadows application A-17333
Fishery applications
A-17330, A-17331 & A-17332
Whooping crane application A-17332
Public Interest
Other Issues
ORDERED
Top of Order
STATE OF NEBRASKA
DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES
In the Matter of Applications )
A-17329 through A-17333. )
ORDER
Water Divisions 1-A, 2-A )
and 2-B.
)
To preserve the presence of natural flows in
the Platte River for certain fish and wildlife, the
Game and Parks Commission filed five applications on November 30, 1993. The applications
sought particular time periods and corresponding flow quantities for specified locations
and
for specified fish and wildlife.
Following initial review of the Commissions applications,
Department of Water Resources
staff gave official notice. More than three dozen persons and organizations responded.
Several
indicated support for the Commissions applications and became its allies. A much
larger
number joined forces in opposition.
The parties engaged experts and conducted extensive discovery activity.
Along the way
procedural disputes were argued, and the status of preparation was discussed at several
conferences. The parties also attempted to resolve their substantive dispute with the aid
of a neutral facilitator. Perhaps as a final concession to their opponents, Commission
members at a July 19, 1996 meeting, took official action to reduce the flow magnitude
for several of their applications.
Return to Top of Order above
Despite the efforts of all the parties, settlement was not achieved. An
adversarial hearing
began on September 25, 1996. Specifically under examination were these
applications:
App. No. |
Purpose |
River Reach |
Time Period |
Flow Requested
(in cubic feet per second) |
| |
|
|
|
|
A-17329 |
Maintain fish community |
Between Johnson Power Plant return
& Loup Power Canal return |
All Year |
1,000 |
| |
|
|
|
|
A-17330 |
Maintain fish community |
Between Loup Power Canal return &
confluence with Elkhorn River |
All Year |
1,800 |
| |
|
|
|
|
A-17331 |
Maintain fish community |
Between Confluence with Elkhorn River
& confluence with Missouri River |
All Year |
3,700 |
| |
|
|
|
|
A-17332 |
Maintain whooping crane roost habitat |
Between Johnson Power Plant return
& Grand Island |
April 1-May 10 October 1-November
10 |
2,400
2,000 |
| |
|
|
|
|
A-17333 |
Maintain wet meadows used by several
wild bird species |
Between Johnson Power Plant return
& the road bridge south of Chapman |
All of February All of March
All of April
All of May & June |
2,700
3,200
2,800
5,900 |
The 39-day hearing extended over six months time. It ended
April 8, 1997. The transcribed
testimony is nearly 7,700 pages in length. More than 200 exhibits round out the record.
Near the end of the proceeding, counsel and I discussed post-hearing
briefs. Included were
schedules, page limitations and issues which might be included in the parties
briefs. On the last
day of the hearing, counsel were given instructions concerning the sequence of their
filings, length
of their briefs, filing deadlines and particular issues to be addressed.
Some two months later, Legislative Bill 877 was passed by the
Unicameral and signed into law
by the Governor. Among its provisions were retroactive changes in the manner in which
instream
flow appropriations are to be quantified. In reaction to the statutory changes, counsel
requested
and were granted time extensions for submitting their briefs. In its brief the Commission
concluded the evidence supported the timing and flow specifications associated with each
of its
applications. Full approval of each was urged. At lesser flow rates and for somewhat
different time
intervals, the Commissions opponents favored approving four of the five
applications. It was said
the wet meadows application, A-17333, should be denied entirely. In further reaction to
the newly
amended statutes, counsel for both sides of the dispute also agreed to the offer of
additional
exhibits which were subsequently received into the record.
CONCLUSIONS:
Statutory requirements pertinent to the examination of the five
applications are § 37-435 and
§§ 46-2,107 through 46-2,119, R.R.S., 1943, as amended. Additional instruction is
inferred
from Central Platte NRD v State of Wyoming, 245 Neb. 439, 513 N.W. 2d 847(1994);
from
In re Application A-17004, et. al., 1 Neb. App. 974, 512 N.W. 2d 391 (1993); and
from
In Re Application A-16642, 236 Neb. 671, 462 N.W. 2d 591 (1990). The briefs of
counsel
reference other precedent-setting cases which also guide the analysis that follows.
Return to Top of Order above
Non-game
and endangered species provisions of Chapter 37.
Prior to commencement of the hearing in September 1996, Department
staff initiated the
consultation referenced in § 37-435. Resultant advice received
December 28, 1995, from
Game and Parks Commission staff member Daylan Figgs indicated approval of the five
applications would have "no effect" upon threatened or endangered species or
their habitat.
There is nothing in the subsequent hearing record which would cast
doubt on that conclusion.
If anything, granting the applications would appear beneficial. As a result none of the
applications
should be rejected on the basis of potential jeopardy to threatened or endangered species
or to
their habitat.
Instream
flow appropriation provisions of Chapter 46.
During the course of the proceeding the parties sometimes argued their
positions as though some
or all of the applications were a consolidated package. But, in terms of their specific
purpose and
their geographic focus, the five applications are distinct. Before thoroughly viewing each
application under all of the statutory requirements, however, several initial conclusions
will reduce
the scope of that undertaking.
Wet Meadows application
A-17333
Attention will first be directed at A-17333. Briefly, that application
seeks, through the exercise of a
priority, to maintain certain river flows as a means of manipulating the water table
underlying
nearby wet meadows. If maintained at the proper elevation, the relatively shallow water
table beneath
the wet meadows was said to prompt upward movement of particular life forms toward the
soil
surface. At shallow depth affected species such as earth worms and beetle larvae are
important
nutrient sources for whooping cranes and other animals. Field and analytical work
undertaken by
such expert witnesses as Currier, Vohs, Lock, and Seibert were offered by the Commission
and
detailed the principal biological factors.
Supporting the biological understandings of these expert witnesses is
apparent belief in the
existence of a hydraulic connection linking river flow changes and fluctuations in ground
water
levels in nearby aquifers. As an initial impression at least, plant and wetland ecology
specialist
Currier went further than most of the others in researching and discussing the linkage
(Tr. pp. 1756-1765, 1789-1830 and 1848-1859). Wintertime data collected from frost tubes,
summertime data resulting from observations of water seen in wet meadow sloughs, and
implications associated with several inventories and observations of native vegetation
formed
the basis for his views. When cross-examined by Doyle, however, it became clear most of
Curriers hydrologic opinions were not soundly based.
Return to Top of Order above
Generally, as opposed to using the data he mentioned as a means to
discredit a working
hypothetical premise, Currier short-cut that process and claimed certain data merely
confirmed
evidence of the linkage. For the frost tube data, design of his data gathering network did
not
include placing some tubes outside wet meadow areas for use as a control
(Tr. pp. 1848-1859). Thus, as winter gradually turns to spring, the frost tube data seem
only
to indicate warming of the earth begins at depth and moves upward. Whether that phenomena
is hastened by vertical movement of the water table or by the presence of certain flows in
the Platte River was not established.
The record relating to wetland sloughs includes little during either
Curriers testimony
(Tr. pp. 1756-1757) or elsewhere. The most significant reference, however, is seen in
his seven-page Exhibit 80. According to the text, a short duration rise in river flow
during
August 1990 caused the filling of several nearby sloughs. Whether the process of their
filling was through water movement in an aquifer or by direct inundation from the river
was
not stated. Therefore, based upon the scant record, this aspect of Curriers opinion
is judged
inadequately based.
Elsewhere, in conjunction with his lengthy cross-examination concerning
particular wet
meadows depicted in Exhibit 85, Currier ultimately acknowledged having made no
investigations aimed directly at determining whether a river-aquifer linkage exists
(Tr. pp. 1789-1830). His efforts at the so-called Elm Creek site appear to have come
the
closest. Even there, however, it was finally conceded a "hydrological analysis of
soils of the
stream bed" was not undertaken (Tr. p. 1805). Later (Tr. p. 1808), he responded
negatively
when asked if he had undertaken studies to determine aquifer transmissivity or stream bed
conductance. Finally, on page 1811 of the transcript, Currier indicated his hydrologic
opinions
were simply based upon field observations as opposed to the conclusions which might follow
comprehensive study.
Devoted almost exclusively to the topic of a stream-aquifer linkage was
the testimony of
wetland plant ecologist Henszey. In contrast to Currier, this witness understanding
of
hydrologic principles (Tr. pp. 2525-2528) is seen as the Commissions principal means
of establishing the linkage.
The bulk of Henszeys testimony stemmed from his analytical work
done in conjunction
with seeking an advanced academic degree. By employing linear regression methods
(Tr. p. 2555), Henszey developed mathematical correlations which were said to link
measured levels in observation wells located in the Platte valley and several variables
which included river flow and stage, evapotranspiration (often referred to as ET) and
precipitation. Exhibits 77 and 104 are essentially the same and document the relevant
extent of his work. His Exhibits 560 through 565 were similarly developed. The later
exhibits contain additional data, and they entered the record as part of the
Commissions
rebuttal.
Presumably in application then, a desired water table elevation beneath
the wet meadows
adjacent to the Platte River could be inferred from the testimony of biological experts
like Currier, Vohs and Siebert. With the desired elevation as a given, Henszeys
equations
could then be employed to specify a corresponding rate of flow in the river. While all of
the steps were not stated that simply, from the evidence presented it appears the
Commission staff essentially adopted that procedure in arriving at the flow rates
specified
for A-17333.
Staff reliance upon Henszeys analytical methodology was ill
placed. Fatally absent from
Henszeys work is a compelling hydrological or geological basis upon which to claim
evidence of a river-aquifer linkage. The sketchy discussion he composed on pages 4 and
5 of Exhibit 104 (an identical text appears on pages 5 and 6 in Exhibit 77) makes no
direct
mention of it. Nor does either exhibit or Henszeys testimony attribute such a claim
to the
work of others. That he merely assumed such a linkage existed is seen in his
cross-examination (Tr. p. 2579) and in direct rebuttal testimony (Tr. pp. 7316-7318).
In
alternative terminology found elsewhere (Tr. pp. 2591-2592, 7326-7327 and 7395-7396),
Henszey indicated only the likelihood of a physical cause and effect relationship was
established through his efforts.
Return to Top of Order above
While being examined, Henszey made no mention of in-the-field
experiments which might
verify the existence of a river-aquifer linkage. Instead, his discussion of particular
precipitation events (Tr. pp. 2546-2548, for example) suggests a further reduction in any
weight to be given his cause and effect assumptions. While Henszeys computations
relating
river stage and observation well data seem to show a direct correlation, in subsequent
dialog
with Dr. Bleed (Tr. pp. 2693-2712) he could not rule out precipitation as the ultimate
factor
which drives a rise in water table levels. In fact following a "heavy downpour,"
Henszey said
another Platte valley researcher, Hurr, reported rapid upward movement in the water table.
Based upon his own observations, he later indicated findings which appear similar to those
attributed to Hurr (Tr. pp. 7323-7326).
Even if a hydraulic cause and effect relationship were successfully
established, the imprecision
of Henszeys correlations makes application of his equations questionable. An early
indication
of limits to which his correlations might be employed is evident from testimony on
transcript
pages 2563-2564. There, in reference to distinctions between positive and negative values
shown on his Table 10 of Exhibit 77, inexact water table projections were acknowledged.
Later, when Figure 20 in Exhibit 104 was the point of reference, the
variability of Henszeys
projections was mentioned again (Tr. pp. 2639-2644). Across the flow range
contemplated
by A-17333 (i.e., 2,700 cfs to 5,900 cfs), the precision in predicted ground water
levels was
said to be approximately half a foot. During his subsequent rebuttal examination, however,
Henszey indicated the precision of his projections was plus or minus one foot
(Tr. pp. 7376-7377). Either way, it must be concluded that the numerical values contained
in
Table 10 of Exhibit 77 should not be viewed as absolutes or even within the one-tenth foot
precision implied by the values tabulated.
The numerical effect of these imprecisions is evident from the exchange
found on
pages 7429-7430 of the transcript. Table 10 of Exhibit 77 was the point of reference, and
Henszey acknowledged the numerical precision of his equations for predicting the water
table
elevation was plus or minus one foot. Using the June
"
Depth-to-Groundwater
" values for
well "CM34-BDD" as an example, Henszey agreed river flow values corresponding to
"the 95 percent confidence interval" would range from 2,283 cfs to more
than 9,728 cfs.
That is an obvious and substantial numerical difference in flow values. As an example it
further
illustrates the unreliable nature of Henszeys correlations.
An entirely legal matter receiving attention during the proceedings and
in the post-hearing briefs
concerns whether A-17333 is a bona fide instream flow application. Try as they might, the
attorneys were unable to reference statutes or precedent-setting cases which squarely
address
that issue. Instead, it appears the answer to the question lies in the evidence, and it
derives from
knowing the location of the expected beneficial use. Consequently, because the record very
clearly indicates any claimed benefits would accrue outside and beyond the banks of Platte
River channels, A-17333 must be judged not to qualify as an instream flow application.
Thus, the urgings of Doyle and Orton are well founded, and for both
technical and legal
reasons A-17333 should be denied.
Before continuing with examination of the remaining applications, brief
attention will be given
to § 46-2,115, the controlling statute. For § 46-2,115, enactment of LB 877 resulted in
amendments to three subsections: (1), (2) and (4). Insertions and strikeouts were employed
to
make the changes. The numerical sequence of the five subsections was not altered by LB
877.
Return to Top of Order above
Notably absent from LB 877 is instruction mandating the Directors
review be undertaken in the
sequence specified. At least for the purpose now at hand, it is concluded rearranging
several of
the subsections would result in a more logical and efficient review of the
Commissions
applications. To that end the applications will first be examined under the provisions of
subsection (2) of § 46-2,115. The examination shall continue next with consideration
of
subsection (4) requirements, followed by consideration of the subsection (1) requirements.
Subsection (3) and (5) requirements will round out the task. Left unchanged by LB 877 is
the
fundamental requirement that approval of the Commissions applications can only be
given if
conclusions reached under all five subsections of § 46-2,115 are favorable.
The subsequent examination will concentrate first upon technical
aspects of the three fishery
applications: A-17329, A-17330 and A-17331. Following that will be an appraisal of
biological
and hydrological aspects of the whooping crane application, A-17332. The parties made no
apparent effort to separate particular public interest elements according to the whooping
crane
application or to any one of the fishery applications. In like manner a consolidated
examination
of all public interest issues will be last and will conclude this examination.
Return to Top of Order above
Fishery
applications A-17330, A-17331 & A-17332
That fish need certain amounts of water to survive is a fundamental
understanding not disputed
by any of the parties. Given the prospective implications of Sections 5, 6 and 7 of the
Nebraska
Constitution and the statutory provisions of Section 2 of Chapter 46 (for example §§
46-204,
46-223 through 46-223.02, 46-234 and 46-235), additional consumptive uses from the Platte
River cannot be ruled out. Thus, granting A-17329, A-17330 and A-17331 would at least
afford
a recognized place for fish in the long list of current (tabulated in Ex. 16) and future
water
appropriations which are or would be authorized to divert and consume water from the
river.
The likelihood of fish mortality would be lessened were the three applications approved
and the
Commission given authority to exercise a priority to call out excessive or unauthorized
upstream
diversions. On that basis it is judged approval of these three applications is consistent
with the
provisions of § 46-2,115(2). Paraphrasing the statute, approval is necessary to
maintain the needs
of existing fish species.
While the very existence of river flows is an essential consideration
throughout the year, a large
portion of the record concerning A-17329 was devoted to the summer months when elevated
water
temperature considerations are of special concern. The discussion began with witness
Hutchinson.
According to him the application, at least in part, was proposed as a response to reported
fish kills
largely believed to be caused by meager stream flow and associated, elevated water
temperature
occurring simultaneously during the summertime (Tr. pp. 802-814, 1252-1259, 1352-1354,
1357
& 1489-1496). Through witness Goldowitz the process of fish mortality during exposure
to
elevated water temperature was explained (Tr. pp. 2004-2013). Simply stated, fish die when
exposed to water of elevated temperature. It was said the length of exposure and critical
water
temperature varies from one species to another. Whether by exposure to elevated
temperature or
due to other factors, Goldowitz also said the repeated loss of larger species, which are
longer
lived and reach their reproductive ages more slowly, has adverse implications to the
overall
composition of species in the river (Tr. pp. 1998-2003). None of Goldowitzs
testimony was
effectively disputed.
Hutchinson continued by discussing recent research efforts which were
directed at establishing
quantitative relationships in the central Platte valley. It was said the results of
several inventories
and investigations favorably impressed the Commission staff (Tr. pp. 802-803, 811-815,
868-869
& 1489-1497). In fact particular data and subsequent analysis were employed by the
staff in
developing the flow specifications of A-17329 (Tr. pp. 812-814, 868-871, 1365, 1488
&
1545-1546).
As a basic consideration at this point, it is noted the lawyers
briefs differ sharply over whether a
summertime relationship between river flow and water temperature exists. The evidence,
however,
is not divided. Witnesses called by both sides criticized one anothers efforts or
the use of certain
data sets (Millers criticism of Kenneth Dinan in Ex. 291, for example). But, they
all acknowledged
existence of the same, indirect relationship. Experts such as Zander (Tr. pp. 927-1139
& Ex. 39)
and Kenneth Dinan (Tr. pp. 5192-5377 & Exs 41, 106, 109 & 547)
claimed a comparatively
significant correlation between larger magnitude river flows and reduced water
temperature.
Contrary to the urgings of attorneys Doyle and Orton, their clients witness, Miller,
also
demonstrated existence of the same relationship; albeit to a lesser degree and with river
flow
trailing other elements in significance (Tr. pp. 5922-6331 & Exs 292, 294 &
338).
Several witnesses called by the Commission expressed opinions that
included particular amounts
of water flowing in the river which they believed necessary to maintain water temperature
below
lethal levels. Because the existence of a relationship between those two variables was
established
through the evidence found in the record, the opinions of those experts are sufficiently
anchored
to permit reaching further conclusions here. By drawing from their input to the record,
the
minimum rate and timing of flow necessary to maintain water temperatures below lethal
levels
for existing fish species [paraphrasing § 46-2,115(4)] can be determined.
For the central Platte valley, which is the scope of A-17329, the
experts opinions for June, July
and August are not far apart. Zanders opinion (Tr. p. 987) established the low end
of the
range - 900 cfs. Kenneth Dinans testimony (Tr. pp. 5257-5258) established
the opposite
extreme - 1,200 cfs. Goldowitzs recommendation (Tr. pp. 2023-2025) falls
between, and it
matches the Commissions request - 1,000 cfs. Based upon the views of these experts,
the
Commissions flow request for A-17329 during June, July and August appears well
reasoned,
and it may be judged to be the minimum rate and timing necessary.
Return to Top of Order above
For the balance of the calendar year, the staff also recommended 1,000
cfs (Tr. pp. 1249-1250
& 1496-1497). When it came to an explanation of what factors were considered and
ultimately
included in that portion of the recommendation, spokesperson Hutchinson was questioned at
great length. By the time he was finished, the list of possible factors was long.
One of them concerned agreements entered into by the Commission and by
several municipalities
which operate water supply facilities in the Platte valley (Tr. pp. 890-894, 1259-1270
&
1399-1414). Lincoln, Omaha and Kearney were mentioned in particular. Hutchinson spoke
generally in vague terms, and during the course of his testimony referenced last, he
frequently
demonstrated physical hesitation and reluctance when cross-examined by Doyle.
The Kearney agreement was disclosed in Exhibit 429. Its significance to
the staff or how the terms
of it might be brought to bear should river flows drop below certain levels seemed unknown
to
Hutchinson. His understanding of the Lincoln and Omaha agreements was lacking also. Beyond
those three municipalities, no other agreements apparently exist (Tr. p. 1269). What
significance
the staff saw in the municipal agreements and how that influenced its flow recommendations
cannot be learned from the record.
Other factors were also discussed in vague and contradictory terms by
Hutchinson. He
acknowledged the Commission staff was inconsistent in its reliance upon certain
mathematical
models and other materials. Notwithstanding the statement seen on page 8 of Exhibit 9
and those
heard in his initial testimony (Tr. pp. 660-661, 729, 777 & 781), it appears staff
flow
recommendations for only A-17330 and A-17331 were based upon numerical results from the
staff PHABSIM model (Tr. pp. 773-774, 801-815, 817, 868-869, 1176, 1221, 1241-1250,
1329-1330, 1357-1358, 1364-1367, 1497 & 1540-1547). Even though PHABSIM model
results yielded 650 cfs for the September through May period for A-17329, the staff
apparently
abandoned reliance upon that model. In fact Hutchinson was heard to say, "We used a
variety of
other analyses to select our flow" (Tr. p. 1249).
In conjunction with Exhibit 441, the graphical and tabular results of
the staff PHABSIM analysis,
Hutchinson said maximum percent habitat "was considered" in developing flow
recommendations
for A-17329 (Tr. pp. 850-855 & 864-865). He did not elaborate further. Recognizing the
maximum value depicted in that exhibit is 650 cfs, "considered but given no
weight" seems a more
straightforward description. Unfortunately, better stating Hutchinsons response to
Doyles
inquiry does not advance comprehension.
Reasons for deviation from the PHABSIM results were elicited from
Hutchinson. In response to
Doyle, several were identified.
The potential impacts of winter time ice was one of them. Concerning
the occurrences of ice,
Hutchinson was the only witness heard to give much detail. On the topic of ice impacts,
the extent
of his knowledge was admittedly limited (Tr. pp. 817-821, 1241, 1504-1510 &
1521-1539). It
was said he had studied relevant scientific literature. But, rather than supplementing
that effort
through dialog with professional colleagues, he merely indicated a brief time was spent
listening to
George Ashton, said to be a notable authority. Hutchinsons field experience was not
extensive
either. It consisted of "anecdotal" observations made during ice formation
occurrences at several
unidentified locations.
Nevertheless, several of Hutchinsons remarks suggest the presence
of winter time ice was
somehow added to the list of elements which were ultimately factored into the staff
recommendations. That impression, however, was clearly dispelled on pages 820 and 821 of
the
transcript. There, he said the staff recommendations were not adjusted for the presence of
winter
time ice.
Other factors mentioned as rationale for deviation from the PHABSIM
model results were technical
and related to the many mathematical correlations undertaken by the staff. One of them was
consideration of a niche analysis. It was said recommended flows, however, were not
adjusted
strictly on that basis (Tr. pp. 834-835). Individual species and life stages also were
taken into
account, but those factors played a "relatively, probably minor consideration"
in development of
the staff recommendations (Tr. pp. 865-873). The staffs guild analysis was
frequently discussed,
but in the end it was not used as a basis for the recommendations either (Tr. pp.
1364-1365).
The Tennant or Montana methodology was likewise discussed. According to Hutchinson, it too
was
not relied upon by the staff (Tr. p. 1384). Statistics related to exceedance levels
for particular river
flows were also developed but not used in setting the recommendations (Tr. pp. 1611-1612).
Perhaps Hutchinson was most definitive when he constructed Exhibit 491.
In that exhibit the
year-round flow for A-17329 was said to be based upon "professional judgement"
(sic). No one
should doubt his sincerity, but considering the potential breadth of that term, reference
to it
provides little to further illuminate or even afford helpful inference.
Return to Top of Order above
Many criticisms were directed at the staff efforts in developing its
PHABSIM model. They will be
discussed in greater detail shortly. At this juncture, however, it is noted one of the
more significant
is the lack of study sites used to represent the various channel reaches in the central
Platte valley.
According to Exhibit 9, Table A-1 and to witness Payne (Tr. pp. 4880-4884), some 27 miles
of the
river were unrepresented by study sites in the PHABSIM model. As a measure intended to
correct
that omission, the staff substituted parameters obtained at a study site located
elsewhere. Little
more in the way of explanation was offered, and the validity of that maneuver seems
questionable.
Thus, even had the Commission relied upon its PHABSIM-generated value of 650 cfs as an
acceptable fall back position for the September to May interval, the study site gap in its
technical
foundation would be too great to overlook.
In summary, the record does not permit understanding what the
Commission staff relied upon in
formulating its September through May recommendations for A-17329. Perhaps the agreements
with Kearney, Lincoln or Omaha? That seems doubtful. It was not based upon the PHABSIM
model,
the presence of winter time ice, results of its niche or guild analysis, the Tennant
method,
maximum percent habitat or the flow exceedance statistics. Individual and life stages
considerations went into the mix, but it was said they were not viewed as significant.
Outside of the June through August period, accepting 1,000 cfs as the
minimum necessary for
A-17329 requires an act of faith which cannot be papered over by merely claiming
"professional
judgement" (sic). The granting of a minimum flow rate for the September through May
period must
be tied to more apparent and tangible evidence. The record does not contain it. As a
result further
review of A-17329 should be limited only to the three summer months.
In contrast to that application, water temperature during the summer
months was not a controlling
factor for A-17330 and A-17331 (Tr. p. 1242). Recalling Hutchinsons statements
already
referenced, in turning now to those applications, only the PHABSIM model results need be
examined.
Results of that model were used in developing the flow rates for all 12 calendar months.
It was said
all of the other analyses considered by the staff (i.e., guild, niche, exceedance) were
used as a
means to verify and confirm the mathematical results of the PHABSIM model (Tr. pp. 790,
864,
882-887, 1242 & 1388).
A PHABSIM model is created with a series of mathematical relationships
which ultimately correlate
habitat with river discharge. The model employs field data gathered at transects
established within
designated study sites. Study sites are chosen to represent conditions existing within
various
reaches. For each transect the particular combination of discharge, depth and velocity
permits
mathematical definition of hydraulic components. When combined with suitability curves,
which
express preferences of particular fish species, amounts of habitat can be calculated. The
computed
amounts vary with stream discharge. A model can be developed for one or several species;
that is,
a community (Tr. pp. 191-192, 4629-4632, 7488-7489 & Ex. 526). The Commission staff
PHABSIM model was developed to determine the magnitude of flows needed to maintain a fish
community. The effort was not directed at specification of optimum flows for a particular
species.
Instead it was intended to achieve a balance which would afford sufficient flows to
maintain all
species which interact and make up the Platte River fish community.
Before discussing results of the staff PHABSIM analysis, it is
necessary to comment on its utilization
outside of the Instream Flow Incremental Methodology (IFIM). Conceptually, the IFIM is a
negotiation
process in which conflicting interests and those of various disciplines turn to PHABSIM
model results
as part of a broader effort aimed at bridging differences and developing mutually
acceptable
instream flow specifications (Tr. p. 730). It was generally conceded the staff
did not rigidly follow
IFIM procedures in calling together and soliciting inputs from stakeholders prior to
developing
specifications for the Commissions applications (Tr. pp. 730-738). As a technical
component of
the IFIM process, the Commissions opponents contend analytical results coming from a
PHABSIM model cannot stand alone.
It appears these arguments from the Commissions opponents rest
upon a faulty premise. If an
undisputed instream flow application is assumed (in the Platte valley, thats
admittedly hard to
imagine), there would be no opposing sides, and a need to negotiate would not exist.
Instead, the
would-be applicant could simply and unilaterally adopt its own PHABSIM-generated
specifications.
Whether that is what Payne or Hardy had in mind during their testimony
cannot be determined.
According to them the full package of IFIM procedures is preferred by some organizations
or people,
but sometimes PHABSIM results are used alone and in the absence of other IFIM components
(Tr. pp. 265-271 & 4623-4629). On that point the record does not contain a contrary
observation
expressed by other witnesses.
In that a PHABSIM undertaking amounts to assembly of a complex series
of mathematical
relationships made practical through electronic data processing, it is merely a device for
making
computations. The observations of Payne and Hardy, therefore, seem quite logical.
Consequently,
there is no reason to heed the urgings of Doyle and Orton by rejecting the PHABSIM results
simply because the staff chose not to undertake completion of all components included in
the
IFIM process.
Return to Top of Order above
In harmony with Hutchinson, whose testimony is seen primarily as a
presentation of the staff
PHABSIM model results, witnesses Hardy and Peters provided a technical defense for
application
of the model. Witness Payne was the opponents principal critic. Among the criticisms
he
mentioned were the propriety of using the model in an acknowledged moveable bed
environment.
Questioned as well was reliance upon insufficient input data for the model. Staff errors
in use of
hydraulic data, combining model outputs and developing suitability curves also were
claimed.
Paynes most fundamental criticism concerned applicability of the
PHABSIM model. It was said
those utilizing the model are required to abide by its inherent makeup, which assumes the
stream
being examined has a fixed bed (Tr. pp. 4634-4635). At times, however, it is known the
Plattes
sandy bed becomes fluid and quite moveable (Tr. pp. 4636-4637). Banks erode,
sand bars form and
disappear, and the thalweg shifts back and forth.
In practice neither Payne nor Hardy seemed rigidly committed to the
fixed bed requirement. Even
in a sand-bed setting like the Platte River, Hardy indicated the PHABSIM model is the best
available
methodology for quantifying fishery flows (Tr. pp. 244 & 252-254). Payne was not heard
to
disagree or suggest a superior methodology. In fact he indicated the PHABSIM model can be
utilized in a moveable bed setting if the stream being examined is in dynamic equilibrium
and if
ample data are collected at each study site (Tr. pp. 4821-4822).
Initially, Payne suggested the data presented in Exhibit 541 indicated
lower reaches of the Platte
River may not be in dynamic equilibrium. During cross-examination he acknowledged that
view
rested only upon two data points, and that it was not possible to determine whether those
data
were indicative of a long term trend. He finally concluded he had no basis for disagreeing
with
others assessments which indicated the entire river is in dynamic equilibrium
(Tr. pp. 4937-4940 & 4986-4987).
Based upon these considerations, it is reasonable to conclude the
Platte River is in dynamic
equilibrium. Staff reliance upon the PHABSIM model, therefore, is judged to be a competent
and
satisfactory methodology for it to employ in developing fisheries recommendations. Thus,
rather
than a challenge to appropriateness of the model, Paynes remaining criticisms are
viewed as his
effort to question the propriety and quality of input parameters and the accuracy of the
PHABSIM
outputs.
To account for moveable bed considerations, Payne asserted data should
be collected at least six
to eight times at each study site (Tr. pp. 4634-4640, 4691, 4697-4698, 4738-4749,
4769-4773,
4822-4823, 4828, 4943, 4946 & Ex. 534). It was claimed any number short of that would
be
insufficient to reliably establish mathematical correlations among the hydraulic
components.
Too few measurements also could lead to improperly derived and unsound habitat-discharge
relationships, he said.
Elsewhere in the record Payne was heard to contradict those claims. In
absolute terms he said it
is not possible to mathematically calibrate hydraulic relationships among various data
sets if the
stream bed configuration has changed during intervals between data collections. Instead,
it was
said a researcher must treat each data set independently and rely upon his or her own
expertise
when subjectively interpolating between the data sets or extrapolating beyond them
(Tr. pp. 4637-4638, 4831, 4844 & 4887). On that point the record shows agreement by
Hardy
(Tr. pp. 7532-7534, 7604-7611 & 7646). Payne added further to the inconsistency of his
own
testimony when he said that in order to develop a habitat-discharge relationship it is
improper to
combine data sets collected over several years time (Tr. p. 4826). Overall, any
weight which
might be given to these aspects of Paynes testimony was severely eroded by these
contradictions
and inconsistencies.
Payne continued his criticism of the staff relying upon insufficient
data by saying the number of
study sites was too few (Tr. pp. 4690-4696 & Ex. 528). His views were based simply
upon the
number of river miles represented by each site. In essence Payne claimed the great
distances
between study sites might allow significant details to be overlooked. According to him,
the staff
should have established study sites at two mile intervals; in all between 125 to 230
transects
(Tr. p. 4827). Payne provided no further rationale, and he did not show that any of the
study sites
employed by the staff were unrepresentative of the river reaches (Tr. pp. 4870-4873).
Based upon his experience as well as examination of aerial photographs
and site visits, Hardy
asserted the methodologies used by the staff did not omit important details and provided
adequate
representation (Tr. pp. 7501-7510). His remarks are more authoritative and reassuring.
They make
Paynes suggestion of several hundred study sites seem overly meticulous and
excessive.
Payne also said the staff improperly weighted equally each river
transect (Tr. pp. 4704-4711
& Ex. 529). With a different weighting procedure he claimed a newer habitat mapping
methodology would permit achieving superior results. During cross-examination he agreed
the
methodology employed by the staff was widely used by others (Tr. p. 4862). Payne also
stated
he had not personally undertaken habitat mapping for the Platte River, and he had no basis
to
conclude weighting by the staff was improper (Tr. pp. 4874-4875). He also stated
transect
reweighting typically has little affect upon final results (Tr. p. 4874). In response to
Paynes
criticism, Hardy pointed out weighting of the transects shown in Exhibit 529 was varied
and
reasserted his belief that the staff weighting was done properly (Ex. 529; Tr. pp.
7512-7518).
Return to Top of Order above
Similarly, Paynes criticism of the staff modeling being faulty
due to excessive and improper data
extrapolation is seen as having no consequence. When the data were truncated at 4,000 cfs,
he
admitted in reference to Exhibit 536 during cross-examination that the methodology he
advocated
would yield essentially the same results as those derived by the staff (Tr. pp. 4734-4738
&
4850-4860). Hardy also convincingly showed that the extrapolations did not significantly
impact
the final staff conclusions (Tr. p. 7539).
In part because of an alleged faulty methodology used to adjust for
habitat availability, Payne also
claimed the species suitability curves (sometimes called species criteria curves) employed
by the
staff were invalid. The curves reflect adjustments and were originally developed by
Peters, a
fisheries biologist noted for research of Nebraska streams.
To illustrate his point, Payne prepared Exhibit 527. It compared one of
Peters suitability curves,
which was used by the staff, with a curve derived from raw field data which was unadjusted
for
habitat availability. It was said the staff curve indicated the western silvery minnow
prefers silty
substrate settings. In contrast it was pointed out the unadjusted curve indicated western
silvery
minnows are mostly observed within sand substrate settings (Tr. pp. 4659-4664 &
4685-4687).
Even though he testified before Payne, Peters comments regarding
the propriety of making the
data adjustments were responsive, and they are seen as being well founded. In selecting
methodologies for developing suitability curves, it was said fisheries biologists are not
in universal
agreement. Consequently, Peters seemed to realize his opinions may be viewed skeptically
by others.
Nonetheless, he and his co-workers believe the preponderance of sand substrate in the
Platte River
is an overriding factor which justified making their raw data adjustments. Given the
dominance of
sand substrate in the Platte, he said it is not uncommon to observe particular fish in
sand substrate
settings even though they prefer other settings (Tr. pp. 3598-3604 & 3608-3610).
The essence of Paynes cross-examination was consistent with
Peters views. Payne indicated
some 90 percent of substrate in the Platte River is sand (Tr. pp. 4903-4904),
and he said data
adjustment is proper (Tr. p. 4907). Faith generally in these aspects of Paynes
suitability curve
views was further weakened when it was acknowledged he was not familiar with Nebraska fish
communities (Tr. pp. 4817-4819), and when he was heard to say he could not dispute
Peters
professional knowledge of the same (Tr. pp. 4508-4909).
As to whether smoothing of habitat-discharge curves was properly done
by the staff, Payne said
it was not (Tr. pp. 4764-4770, 4885-4893 & Ex. 535). In defense of the staffs
methodology,
Hardy indicated that smoothing several different curves into one is common practice when
dealing with a moveable-bed river (Tr. p. 7555). Paynes limited experience severely
erodes his
criticism. He claimed only a single experience with a moveable-bed stream. In that case
curve
smoothing was unnecessary (Tr. p. 4887).
Amounts of flow passing each side of islands was seen by Payne as
another example of staff
model input done improperly (Tr. pp. 4719-4725 & Ex. 532). Where it was known to the
staff,
he indicated the true mathematical proportion of flow passing each side of islands was
utilized.
At other locations, however, the split was 50:50. Little more was said. A quantified
estimate
which might have shed light on the extent of error was not produced by Payne. On balance
this
criticism did not demonstrate staff members methods of splitting flows around
islands
invalidated or even significantly altered their PHABSIM results (Tr. pp. 7524-7531).
Payne noted the staffs hydraulic modeling sometimes showed
"water flowing uphill"
(Tr. pp. 4733-4734). Payne admitted his "flowing uphill" remarks were limited to
model output
in the 400 cfs range and not to output at 1,800 cfs (Tr. p. 4850), the amount specified
for
A-17330. Hardys reaction provides perspective and indicated the staff model results
should
not be rejected due to their appearing to show water flows uphill. In his experience Hardy
indicated what Payne noticed is not unusual at the extreme ends of a flow curve and should
not
weaken confidence in model results if it occurs only at those margins (Tr. pp. 7533-7537).
Finally, after cataloging all of the errors he believed were committed
by the staff, Payne
identified the most significant, corrected the input data accordingly and reran the
PHABSIM
model himself. Mentioned was a recalibration of hydraulic data and reworking flow splits
around islands. Using Peters data, he also revised habitat suitability curves to
eliminate the
bias he believed was due to segregating zero velocity bins. Corrections to improper
normalization of data collected over several years time and adjustment for habitat
availability
were included also (Tr. pp. 4920-4923 $ 4977-4978). In addition to these input data
changes,
Payne also said he faithfully followed all of the other steps employed by the staff.
For the North Bend site, which was the focal point used by the staff in
developing its
recommendations for A-17330, Paynes results are shown in Exhibits 538 and 540. The
peaks
on Paynes curves indicate the maximum amount of habitat coincides with flows ranging
from
2,000 cfs for the 1987 data and to nearly 2,500 cfs for the 1985 data. His curves are
similar
in shape and configuration to Exhibit 442 which represented the culmination of the
Commission
staff efforts (Tr. pp. 4920-4931). If contrasted at the maxima, the numerical difference
in the
graphs of Payne and that of the staff is not great. For whatever it is worth, a similar
comparison
of PHABSIM results for the central Platte reach (Tr. pp. 4932-4933 & Exs. 441
& 572), the
subject of A-17329, is also numerically close. For the Louisville/Cedar Creek data, which
was
used by the staff to set the A-17331 recommendations, contrasting Paynes PHABSIM
results
to those of the staff illustrates greater numerical disparity (Tr. pp. 5002-5004 &
Exs. 443 & 544).
Return to Top of Order above
Payne characterized the results of his modeling efforts as
"intermediate work products"
(Tr. p. 4979). It was said they should not be used for establishing the magnitude of
Commission
water appropriations. To do so undoubtedly would be inconsistent with the subsequent flow
recommendations of his clients. In respect to that position, his work is viewed only as
results
of the test he used to establish claims of inaccuracies and unreliability (Tr. pp. 4726,
4738,
4760 & 4783).
Paynes fault finding of staff input data and resultant PHABSIM
model outputs can be
summarized in these conclusions. For two criticisms, suitability curve adjustments and
transect
weighting, his own limited experience prompted him to concede agreement with the
respective
views of Peters and Hardy. Payne could claim no personal experience in curve smoothing and
thereby undercut his own base to criticize. Remarks referencing the number of study sites
and
the manner in which the staff treated flow distribution around islands amounted to an
unquantified
critique. His testimony in that regard might have been more compelling had it included
analysis
indicating the extent to which the staff calculations led to distorted recommendations.
Adverse
comments regarding data extrapolation and water "flowing uphill" were irrelevant
because they
pertained to flow ranges which are respectively much greater or much less than the
Commission
flow requests for A-17330 and A-17331. The contradictory and inconsistent nature of
Paynes
adverse testimony pertaining to moveable bed uncertainties and the amount of data which
should
be collected at each study site makes his remarks inconsequential.
In the end Payne could not claim the staffs input data or
procedures were wrong; only that there
was an unquantified level of uncertainly associated with the results (Tr. pp. 4736, 4738
& 4783).
Reliance upon his own PHABSIM model outputs was tentative, but even they did not point to
wide
deviation at two of the referenced study sites.
Hardy also reran the PHABSIM model. In those situations where he agreed
with Payne, input data
were changed. He employed different curve smoothing methods than were used by the staff.
Hardys
model results for the North Bend site (Exs 571 & 572) are similar to
Paynes (Exs 538 & 540).
Numerically, they both show maximum percent habitat corresponds to about 2,000 cfs. Based
upon
belief that needed input corrections would not significantly alter final results, Hardy
did not rerun
the PHABSIM model for the Louisville/Cedar Creek study site (Tr. p. 7578).
According to Hardy, the staff PHABSIM model constituted the best
state-of-the-art methodology
for determining needed fisheries flows in the Platte River (Tr. pp. 200, 238, 262-263
& 7579).
In his judgement the staff analysis was "as good as it gets," given current
understandings
(Tr. pp. 238-244).
In this dispute of experts, the nod must go to Hardy and Peters.
Peters extensive experience and
acknowledged expertise of Platte River fisheries was not truly challenged. Hardys
knowledge of
the PHABSIM model gained from theoretical and field application in moveable bed
environments
was broader than Paynes, and it was solidly based. Both Peters and Hardy possess
impressive
academic backgrounds in teaching, research and as members of national and international
organizations. As for Payne, his claims of inaccuracies in the staff PHABSIM model output
were
mostly unquantified. Upon reflection, they appear exaggerated and of little significance.
Through the elimination of other possibilities, the opponents
recommendation of 1,342 cfs for
A-17330 and 1,960 cfs for A-17331 appears to be based upon the Tennant method (Ex. 491).
Exhibit 56 is a copy of the original paper authored by Donald L. Tennant. As can be seen,
his method
simply calls for assignment of a particular "narrative description" to various
percentage levels of
average annual stream flow. In comparison to the more comprehensive efforts used to
develop the
staff recommendations, the Tennant method seems crude, subjective and much less rigorous.
The staff recommendations for A-17330 and A-17331, therefore, rest upon
a solid foundation.
The amounts and timing specifications for each were reasonably established. There is no
evidence
to suggest the flow and timing specifications were intended as a means to increase the
magnitude
or extent of fishery habitat or to cause an increase in the numbers of fish. Neither were
they
intended to establish optimum habitat for a particular species. The flow and timing
specifications
were intended as a means to maintain survival for the community of fish living in the
Platte River.
Therefore, in accordance with § 46-2,115(4) the staff-generated flow rate and timing
specifications
may be judged to be the minimum rate and timing necessary for the needs of existing
fisheries in
the North Bend and Louisville reaches.
Continuing now with further consideration of the three fisheries
applications, attention is directed
to the requirements of § 46-1,115(1). In some fashion the testimony of several
experts reference
flows in the Platte River. Two of them, Razavian and Woodward, were qualified as
hydrologists.
Their contributions to the record were more extensive and not very dissimilar.
Several relevant exhibits originally entered the record during the
testimony of Razavian and
Woodward. Included in those exhibits were tabulations containing historic stream flow
records
and statistical data generated from them. The exhibits were organized and prepared to
address the
criteria of § 46-2,115(1) as it was then composed. Following conclusion of the
Departments
hearing and enactment of LB 877, which included a significant alteration of
§ 46-2,115(1), experts
for the parties revised their exhibits. Respectively, Exhibits 573 and 576 are the work of
the
Commission and its opponents. Effectively, the two exhibits now substitute for the earlier
efforts
of each side.
Return to Top of Order above
Generally, the mathematical computations which went into preparation of
each exhibit appear quite
similar. As a starting point the exhibits were produced from the records of data collected
at
measuring stations in the Platte valley. Although the ending dates for the historical flow
records
are not identical, both exhibits employ published data for very nearly the same time
period. There
is nothing in the hearing record to suggest either exhibit should be suspect due to
unusual climatic
events or other factors.
Of the two, Exhibit 573 is more extensive. It includes statistical
tabulations generated from flow
data recorded at three additional measuring stations . . . Overton, Odessa and Duncan. In
format
the tabulations of Exhibits 573 and 576 are not entirely identical. But, if examination is
limited to
the same measuring stations and to the "Monthly" values found in Exhibit 576,
the two exhibits may
be compared directly.
For the four measuring stations related to A-17329, a fatal shortcoming
is seen in the analysis for
one of them, the Overton station. Geographically, that station is located in the upstream
portion of
the reach contemplated by A-17329. More exactly it lies downstream from the Johnson Power
Plant (J-2) return to the river and upstream from the Kearney Canal headgate (Ex. 9, Table
A-1 &
Ex. 16, pp. 169-174). The Exhibit 16 reference also indicates water previously impounded
at the
upstream Sutherland Reservoir may be released to and diverted from the river to supplement
natural flow diversions made by the Kearney Canal.
Notwithstanding these facts Razavian said he did not deduct from the
Overton data either natural
flow or stored water diversions made by the Kearney Canal (Tr. pp. 617-620).
Judging by an
absence of contrary narration in the two-page cover letter accompanying Exhibit 573, the
Commissions revised analysis apparently did not include such a deduction either.
Exhibit 16 indicates the number of appropriations from the river
downstream from the Kearney
Canal is fewer than the number above it. The exhibit also indicates the Kearney Canal
holds several
senior appropriations, and it is the most downstream diversion facility of comparably
significant
magnitude. At least during the summer when its irrigation appropriations are being
exercised,
significant portions of the flow passing Overton maybe appropriated quantities enroute to
the
Kearney Canal. Beyond the summer time, the same can be said for Kearney Canal diversions
to
generate hydroelectric energy under water appropriations D-1023 and A-1577. To give a
better
indication of flows potentially available to satisfy the sought-after requirements of
A-17329, the
Commissions expert should have taken those facts into account when analyzing the
Overton data.
For the data from the measuring stations downstream from the Kearney Canal, the omission
is
permissible given the comparatively small quantities of appropriated natural flow which
may be
included in the records.
In not making adjustments to the Overton measuring station record or
otherwise undertaking a
more thorough examination of the river reach above the Kearney Canal headgate, the
Commission failed to carry a necessary burden. That portion of its analysis in Exhibit 573
which pertains to the Overton measuring station data, therefore should not be utilized
here.
By implication then, the geographic scope of A-17329 should be limited to the reach
beginning immediately downstream from the Kearney Canal headgate and extending to the
confluence of the Platte and Loup Rivers.
A second potential shortcoming in the A-17329 reach, not explicitly
factoring into the analysis
existence of instream flow appropriations held by Central Platte Natural Resources
District, was
offset by the manner in which the Commission requested approval of A-17329 and in the
format
of the calculations displayed in Exhibits 573 and 576. In effect Hutchinson said the
Commissions
A-17329 request is for 1,000 cfs, less those amounts already appropriated by Central
Platte
(Tr. pp. 1598-1599 & 1613-1615). Whether, as required by § 46-2,115(1), the
combination of
the Central Platte appropriations and the requested appropriation is available 20 percent
of the
time can be determined from the tabulations contained in the two exhibits.
According to Exhibit 16 (pp. 169-180), during June through August
Central Plattes A-17004a,
A-17004b and A-17004c come into full force and effect within the same reach specified for
A-17329. Central Plattes appropriations have not been forfeited or lost to nonuse,
and they
carry a July 25, 1990 priority date. Their purpose is to maintain existing river flows for
certain
fish species and macroinvertebrates which are food sources for interior least terns and
for piping
plovers. In quantity the Districts appropriations during June through August call
for:
A-17004a - 500 cfs, June 1 to June 23; A-17004b - 600 cfs, June 24 to August 22; and
A-17004c - 500 cfs, August 23 to August 31. The balance sought by the Commissions
A-17329, therefore is: 500 cfs, June 1 to June 23; 400 cfs, June 24 to August 22;
and 500 cfs, August 23 to August 31.
Starting with the Grand Island station, both exhibits effectively
indicate the senior instream flow
appropriations of Central Platte and a junior instream flow appropriation belonging to the
Commission could be fully exercised more than 20 percent of the time in June and July
(Ex. 573, Table 13X & Ex. 576, Table 1). At Odessa and Duncan the more extensive
Exhibit 573
indicates the same (Tables 7X & 21X). Should further analysis undertaken herein permit
it,
A-17329 should be limited to no more than 500 cfs during June 1 through June 23 and 400
cfs
during June 24 through July 31.
Return to Top of Order above
For August at the Grand Island measuring station, statistics tabulated
in the two exhibits indicate
1,000 cfs is not present 20 percent of the time. Together with Central Plattes
appropriations,
Exhibit 576 indicates only 771.4 cfs passes by 20 percent of the time or more. Judging by
Table 13X of Exhibit 573, however, the 20 percent threshold lies between 800 and 900 cfs.
If the correlation between the values in Exhibit 573 is linear, a flow of approximately
830 cfs
at Grand Island would correspond to 20 percent. At Odessa the same exercise suggests about
785 cfs would correspond to 20 percent. The similarly computed figure for Duncan is 885
cfs.
Whether the statistics displayed in Exhibit 573 are truly linear was
not established. Nonetheless,
the numerical difference between the two exhibits is not great. Given the inherent
difficulties of
making precise flow measurements in the river and of instituting regulations should the
flow
diminish and needs arise, numerically rounding the flow magnitudes to the nearest 100
units is a
practical consideration. Doing so falls within the discretion authorized by
§ 46-2,115.
Therefore, if the instantaneous rates representing the 20 percent
threshold are thereby determined
to be 800 cfs at Odessa and Grand Island, A-17329 should be limited to 200 cfs during the
first
22 days of August and to 300 cfs during the remainder of the month. In like manner, the 20
percent
threshold at Duncan is 900 cfs. With that as a given, flow for A-17329 at the Duncan
station should
be limited to 300 cfs for August 1 through 22 and to 400 cfs for August 23 through 31.
With
reference being made to the Odessa, Grand Island and Duncan measuring stations,
conditioning
approval of A-17329 for June, July and August in the manner outlined would eliminate the
"inappropriate overlapping" concern expressed by counsel for the
Commissions opponents.
For the North Bend and Louisville data, Central Plattes instream
flow appropriations do not come
into play. But, Exhibit 573 indicates allowance was made to account for irrigation use by
the
recently constructed North Loup Project (also called Twin Loups Project). That Project is
located
in the Loup River drainage. Loup River flows geographically enter the Platte River
downstream
from the Duncan measuring station. Given the relatively short period of operation by that
Project
(Ron Wolf remarks, Tr. pp. 6676-6699) the Commissions adjustment of the
historical data was
warranted. Whether Woodward made comparable adjustments cannot be determined from
Exhibit 576.
Despite that uncertainty, for the North Bend station, both exhibits
agree in substance. They indicate
the full quantity sought by the Commissions A-17330 is present in the river
significantly more
than 20 percent of the time (Ex. 573, Table 65Xb & Ex. 576, Table 4). If that
application can be
allowed, the year-round flow rate should be limited to 1,800 cfs.
A bit more complexity must be taken into account for A-17331 and its
reference to data from the
Louisville measuring station. Subsequent to concluding the evidentiary hearing for the
Commissions
applications, appropriation A-17310 was awarded to the Metropolitan Utilities District
(MUD).
MUDs appropriation authorizes withdrawal of water to satisfy municipal needs in the
Omaha
metropolitan area. Its supply is obtained from a series of large-capacity wells located in
the Platte
valley a short distance downstream from the Louisville station. In operation the wells
induce aquifer
recharge from flows in the river. Corresponding to particular wells in its well field,
MUDs
appropriation carries priority dates ranging from January 1970 to January 1990.
Quantitatively,
the MUD appropriation is for 500 cfs.
Following approval of the MUD appropriation, counsel for the Commission
submitted without
objection an "Offer of Evidence and Request for Judicial Notice." The
Commissions offer
referenced and included Exhibit 575, which is titled "Summary of Induced Recharge
Applications."
Later, all of the parties joined in a "Stipulation for Reopening Record, Submission
of Evidence and
Closing of Record." The stipulation referenced a tabulation titled, "Induced
Recharge Applications
and Appropriations." The Offer, the Stipulation and Exhibit 575 were formally
accepted and received.
It is evident the parties are aware of § 46-2,108(3). The offering,
stipulation and exhibit indicate
existence of municipal appropriations is to be a consideration in this ruling. The
parties efforts to
supplement the record are useful for that purpose.
Out of those listed in Exhibit 575, only the MUD appropriation has been
approved. Therefore,
because the 500 cfs MUD appropriation is senior in priority and lies within the river
reach specified
for A-17331, the statistical analysis done for the Louisville station (Exhibit 573) should
be adjusted
accordingly. With that in mind, the following table, with quantities rounded to the
nearest 100 units,
can be developed after noting the 20 percent threshold quantity found in Table 77Xb of
Exhibit 573:
Time Period
|
Maximum Flow Limit |
January
|
3,100 cfs |
February through July &
October through December
|
3,700 cfs |
August
|
3,500 cfs |
September
|
3,200 cfs |
If A-17331 can be approved, it should be so limited.
Return to Top of Order above
Should the three fishery applications be granted, § 46-231
requires a November 30, 1993 priority be
assigned to each. With that as its authority, the Commission would then hold a right to
call out only
those upstream, junior-priority right holders whose actions diminish river flows below the
rates and
during the time intervals specified above. As a consequence, there could be no
interference to those
holding senior water appropriations.
With apparent knowledge of that rather obvious conclusion, the
Commissions opponents used the
example of two irrigation districts to demonstrate how senior appropriators might still be
adversely
affected. General managers Pinkman, North Loup Public Power and Irrigation District
(Tr. pp. 6722-6743), and Wolf, Twin Loups Irrigation District (Tr. pp. 6674-6722),
provided
testimony.
From time to time Pinkman said some farmers have cancelled their
contracts to receive irrigation
water from his district. Others have shifted production away from lands specifically
included under
one of the districts water appropriations. To keep current with these changes, it
was said the North
Loup District acquired new appropriations which are junior in priority to its oldest
appropriations
which in turn date back to the 1930s. Should similar changes continue in the future,
it is feared
additional appropriations would not be granted to North Loup if the Commissions
applications
are approved.
Wolfs perspective was somewhat different. Construction of his
district was recently completed.
The district is in an initial development phase, and its experience is not directly
comparable to the
older North Loup District. At the time of his testimony, some fields had not yet received
water
from the district works. It is believed the owners of other tracts which have been watered
with
district supplies may alter their plans and call for deliveries elsewhere. In taking into
account the
fluid nature of these activities, Wolf spoke apprehensively. Mentioned were debt
obligations to the
federal government and upcoming deadlines for submitting maps and perfecting the
districts
appropriations through demonstrated beneficial uses. If the Commissions applications
are granted
and Twin Loups deadlines are missed, it is feared greater uncertainties will exist
because the
district may be left with fewer acres it can adequately serve and with potentially greater
per acre
expenses for its operations and for debt service.
Pinkmans concern for rejection of new applications to consume
water is speculative. Few things
are forever, but unlike that portion of the Platte River watershed above where it is
joined by flows
from the Loup, the lower portion of the Platte and its tributaries (including the Loup)
have not
been judged to be overappropriated. With that rationale as a sole basis, applications for
new
consumptive uses in the lower portion of the Platte River watershed have not been
routinely
rejected. As for the other matters raised by Pinkman and Wolf, Nebraskas body of
water law
contains potential remedies which ought to lessen their concerns. The possibility of
formally
sanctioning the relocation of headgates and diversion works is contemplated by
§ 46-250.
Formally shifting the location of irrigation appropriations from one field to another is
permitted
under the provisions of §§ 46-290 through 46-294. With demonstration of diligence,
§ 46-238
provides for the granting of time extensions to those finding deadlines impossible to
meet.
To these examples creative minds will likely expand the list. Given all
of that, the issues raised by
Pinkman and Wolf are not dire. Their concerns should not be cause for blocking approval of
the
Commissions applications on account of interference with the exercise of senior
surface water
appropriations [§ 46-2,115(3)].
Whooping crane application
A-17332
At this juncture the general topic shifts from consideration of the
Commissions three fishery
applications to its whooping crane application, A-17332. Briefly, the Commission seeks the
right
to call out junior, upstream users as a means of assuring certain river flows during the
spring and
fall when whooping cranes pass through Nebraska during their migrations across the
continent.
Channels of the river in central Nebraska are often used by whooping cranes for roosting.
More
specifically, the Commissions goal is to prevent further degradation of roost
habitat by
maintaining certain aquatic characteristics within the constraints of present channel
morphology
(Tr. pp. 2182 & 2266-2267 & Ex. 12, p. 7). The flow specifications were developed
largely from
field observations and from subsequent analysis using a mathematical model.
Whooping cranes are wading birds, and when roosting they do not seek
the limbs or branches of
trees. Instead, they nearly always roost in shallow water. In upland areas like the
Rainwater Basins,
they have been observed roosting in lakes and lagoons. In the Platte valley, it is
reported they show
great affinity for roosting in shallow channels of the river. Reported observations
indicate whooping
cranes do not routinely roost in Nebraska. Whooping cranes prefer undisturbed roosting
locations
with extensive and unobstructed horizontal visibility which is believed to afford security
from
predation. In Platte River channels, roost sites are commonly less than 18 inches deep and
are often
near barren sand bars.That brief description can be gotten from the testimony of witnesses
Wingfield (Tr. pp. 2186-2202, 2209, 2354 & 2379), Carlson (Tr. pp. 3764-3765 &
3890-3891)
and Jenniges (Tr. pp. 6550-6552 & 6583) and from Exhibit 12 (pp. 3-4), Exhibit 55
(p. 27),
Exhibit 68 (pp. 6-8) and Exhibit 577. To that description there were no contrary
views expressed
by other witnesses, nor can they be read in any of the other exhibits.
By adversely affecting needed wetted width and water depth, additional
consumption from the
Platte River would directly compete with existing uses by roosting whooping cranes. In
view of
the prospective implications of the State Constitution and the Chapter 46 Section 2
statutes,
specifically referenced previously, the possibility of additional consumptive uses from
the river
must be acknowledged. Even though A-17332 would be quite junior in priority, granting it
would
at least give existing whooping crane uses a place on the list of current (Ex. 16) and
future
appropriators. On behalf of existing whooping crane use, the Commission would be
authorized to
call out excessive or unauthorized upstream diversions. Approval of A-17332 would maintain
existing flows needed and used by whooping cranes, and it would be consistent with §
46-2,115(2).
Return to Top of Order above
Table 1 of Exhibit 12 and Exhibits 476 and 481 provide undisputed
evidence of whooping crane
roosting in the central portion of the Platte valley. Confirmed roostings as early as
April 1 and as
late as May 22, in the spring, and between October 13 and November 5, in the fall,
are reported.
Although the geographic end points and time intervals of the reported observations do not
exactly
agree with the specifications in A-17332, for all practical purposes there is a match.
Thus, the
timing and reach specifications of A-17332 are supported by sound evidence.
In contrast to those specifications, the rates of flow chosen by the
Commission for its A-17332
was a far more contentious matter. Stating that an appropriation for anything less would
result in
further degradation in the availability and quality of whooping crane habitat, the
Commission
initially requested 2,400 cfs on a year-round basis (Ex. 12, p. 2). In its subsequent
decision, the
fall request was reduced to 2,000 cfs. That willingness to reduce the fall request is
somewhat
puzzling in light of the Commissions stated objective.
In his explanation, Lock said he was given the assignment to develop a
biological rationale to
support the amended request for 2,000 cfs (Tr. P. 3171). He referred to Exhibit 12 and
noted
only 25 percent of whooping crane roosting occurs in the fall (Table 1), and according to
Table 4,
95 percent of the roosting habitat could be maintained with a flow of 2,000 cfs (Tr. pp.
3171-3175,
3324-3326, 3338-3339 & 3429-3432). Based on that rationale, he concluded that 2,000
cfs
would fulfill the purpose of providing whooping crane roosting habitat (Tr. pp. 3174-3175,
3310
& 3316). During cross examination, Lock also indicated autumn roost site
characteristics for
whooping cranes are no different than those associated with the spring (Tr. pp. 3317-3318
& 3331).
From all of that, if a particular rate of flow is thought to be sufficient for the autumn
time period,
a numerically equal flow ought to be sufficient in the spring. Whether 2,000 cfs during
the spring
or fall is the minimum amount necessary awaits the following examination and conclusions.
Two types of analyses were used to support the Commissions
request. Most of the testimony
focused upon a mathematical habitat simulation model which quantified the relationship
between
river discharge and roosting habitat. The other merely consisted of examination of flows
present
during periods when whooping cranes were known to use the Platte River.
The Commissions whooping crane model was originally developed by
the U.S. Fish and Wildlife
Service and is an adaptation of the PHABSIM model. The whooping crane model combines
hydraulic
parameters to relate river discharge with width and depth dimensions believed necessary to
satisfy
roosting requirements in each channel reach with a habitat suitability index. In practice
the
opponents witness Jenniges urged a degree of caution. He claimed inherent errors in
measuring
the magnitude of the hydrologic parameters amounts to 10 percent. As a consequence he said
there
is no significant difference in the quantity of flow which produces habitat ranging from
90 to
100 percent of optimum. In applying all of that to the data seen in Table 3 of Exhibit 12,
he
suggested between 1,600 cfs and 3,300 cfs might be sufficient for achieving the
Commissions
objective (Tr. pp. 6565-6570). No one disputed that portion of Jenniges
testimony.
The somewhat subjective suitability index is the mathematical product
of a wetted width index
value and a percent of optimal flow depth value determined for each transect
(Exhibit 12, pp. 17-18). For wetted widths of 1,000 feet or more, the Commission staff set
the
wetted width index at 1.0, the optimum value. Where wetted width was less than 1,000 feet,
smaller index values were assigned on a nonlinear basis (Tr. p. 6570 & Ex. 12,
pp. 14-15 & Fig. 1).
While it was agreed a water-filled channel is necessary for roosting
habitat, the experts disagreed
over the physical dimensions. Biologist Carlson said 1,000 feet of wetted width is
considered
desirable (Tr. pp. 3896-3900 & Ex. 68, pp. 12-13). Carlson and Wingfield attributed
that
opinion to the professional judgment of others who have studied whooping cranes
(Tr. pp. 2335-2336, 3906-3908, 3911-3916 & 3922).
Jenniges disagreed. He reported reading nothing in relevant
professional literature that mentions a
need for 1,000 feet of wetted width (Tr. p. 6646). Instead, after taking into account
several
different data sets, he said in-the-field measurements at known roost sites varied widely
but
averaged about 700 feet (Tr. pp. 6554, 6572 & 6629-6630 & Exs 479 &
482). Jenniges pointed
out that only two birds were reported to have roosted at sites having a wetted width
greater than
1,000 feet (Tr. pp. 6570-6574 & Ex. 479). One of the birds, nicknamed Oklahoma, was
observed
on three out of four occasions during the same high flow year and displayed the unusual
behavior
of spending an entire winter with a flock of sandhill cranes (Tr. pp. 6573-6574 &
6639-6640).
It was suggested that the roost site characteristics based upon data collection in
conjunction with
the two birds may not be representative. Jenniges noted whooping cranes have been known to
move
from wide channels to narrower channels, and being free to choose, they have used narrow
channels
when wider channels were available (Tr. pp. 6578-6581 & 6647).
Jenniges also suggested persons sometimes confuse or equate
unobstructed width with wetted
width requirements. A river channel devoid of dense vegetation would be open to visibility
even
though it is not completely filled with water, he pointed out. Jenniges agreed an
unobstructed width
of as much as 1,000 feet is important, but he pointed out the index used by the Commission
staff
referred only to wetted width (Tr. pp. 6628-6630 & 6660). All else being equal, it is
possible
whooping cranes would prefer to roost in a 1,000 feet wide channel, but the
Commissions data and
observations, cited in publications of the U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service, clearly
indicate whooping
cranes using the Platte River can and do roost in areas where water filled channels are
less than
1,000 feet wide, he said.
Return to Top of Order above
Also mentioned in regard to the open-space needs at roosting sites were
observations of whooping
cranes seen beyond the confines of the Platte River. Jenniges suggested whooping cranes
are
opportunistic. As long as roosting habitat having shallow water and sufficient visibility
is available,
he said whooping cranes will roost in a variety of locations (Tr. pp. 6550-6552 & 6577
& Ex. 484).
Wingfield essentially agreed. He mentioned observations reported by researcher Howe and
cited in
Exhibit 72. It was reported whooping cranes have been seen to roost in small ponds of less
than four
hectares (Tr. pp. 2272-2282 & 2379). In Exhibit 72 (p. 10) it is noted Howe found 40
percent of
the roosting wetlands were smaller than one half hectare. The unrefuted remarks of
Jenniges and
Wingfield effectively cast considerable doubt on the propriety of the Commission
staffs wetted
width index.
How to determine the percent optimum flow depth also was cause for
extensive testimony. Flow
depth was added to the suitability index (and later to the whooping crane model) using a
cumulative
depth distribution function (Ex. 12, Fig. 2). The cumulative depth distribution function
was added in
order to recognize the need for both a shallow area in which whooping cranes can stand for
roosting
and a deeper area of flow believed necessary for predator protection (Tr. pp. 2325-2326,
3945,
6578-6582 & 6658 & Ex. 12, pp. 16-17).
Support for this aspect apparently rests upon certain data collected at
roost sites on the Platte
River. However, Jenniges pointed out many non-riverine roost sites lacked deep water
predator
barriers (Tr. pp. 6582 & 6635). He questioned whether whooping cranes are truly
sophisticated
and choose their roosting sites based upon an examination and analysis of a range of water
depths
(Tr. pp. 6625 & 6658). He suggested the presence of deep water is not necessarily a
desirable roost
site characteristic but simply a common characteristic of river channels (Tr. pp. 6582,
6612-6613,
6625, 6634-6636 & 6658-6659). Without more compelling data, the necessity of a deep
water
predator barrier is seen as conjecture.
In addition to questions regarding the need for deep and shallow water,
the Commissions opponents
raised concerns about the form of the cumulative depth distribution function. Essentially
the
cumulative depth distribution function (Ex. 12, Fig. 2) defines an area or envelope
encompassing all
flow depth patterns observed in river transects where whooping cranes have roosted.
According to
Carlson, the outer edge of the function does not represent any one transect. Instead, it
is the outer
boundary which encompasses a range of ideal transect dimensions (Tr. pp. 3870-3873). In
application the percent optimum flow depth is that proportion of all data points obtained
from
measurements made at a particular transect which falls within the envelope depicted in
Figure 1 of
Exhibit 12. If all transect data points fall within the area outlined, for example, the
transect is given a
weighting of 1.0 (Tr. p. 3900).
Even though sandbars are described as a desired roost site
characteristic and were present at 27 of
the 35 roost sites surveyed, Jenniges went on to critically note exposed sandbars were
given a
negative value in the staffs cumulative depth distribution function (Tr. pp.
6583-6585 & 6620).
He also pointed out the cumulative depth distribution function may not be as well
developed as
possible because it was based upon field data from only 21 roost sites. It was also said
data from
nine of those sites were collected after use by the bird nicknamed Oklahoma. Data from
another
seven of the 21 roost sites was collected after use by the two so-called Odessa birds
(Tr. pp. 6614-6615).
Since development of the whooping crane model, more roost site data
were collected
(Ex. 12, pp. 9-10). Carlson said he reviewed the new data and concluded the cumulative
depth
distribution function did not need modification. His conclusion was said to be based upon
the new
data falling within the boundaries (i.e., shaded envelope seen in Ex. 12, Fig. 2) of the
cumulative
depth distribution function (Tr. pp. 3886-3888 & Ex. 12, pp. 15-16 & Ex. 482).
Wingfield agreed
(Tr. pp. 2360-2361).
Holding an opposing view was Jenniges. He indicated refinements to the
cumulative depth
distribution function should have been made. He noted most of the new data graphically
plotted
tightly in the upper left portion of the cumulative depth distribution function (Tr. pp.
6594-6596
& Ex. 482, p. 2). Jenniges also questioned whether the cumulative depth distribution
function used
by the staff represented the collective opinion of experts. After reviewing relevant
literature, he
constructed a theoretically ideal cumulative depth distribution function. As opposed to
the perfect
1.0 rating it would receive from the staff appraisal, it was said plotting the newly
acquired data on
Jenniges theoretically ideal cumulative depth distribution function resulted in a
0.7 rating
(Tr. pp. 6607-6609 & Ex. 452, p. 5).
In earlier cross-examination, Carlson, who from time to time seemed
equivocal, evasive and not
always candid, was firm nonetheless (Tr. pp. 3885-3888). He acknowledged the new data
clustered
in the upper left portion of the cumulative depth distribution function, but he argued
there is no
need to change its nature even if some 100 new data points also clustered similarly. A
persuasive
rationale supporting Carlsons reluctance to alter the cumulative depth distribution
function cannot
be found in the record.
Finally, as part of his analysis Jenniges also tested output
sensitivity of the whooping crane
PHABSIM model with different inputs from the cumulative depth distribution function (Ex.
554).
He found model output was very sensitive to input changes coming from data which plotted
in the
lower portion of the cumulative depth distribution function (Tr. pp. 6597-6599 & Ex.
554).
Jenniges also noted this part of the envelope was largely based upon several deep-water
roost site
observations involving only three birds. So that data from each birds behavior would
be weighted
equally, Jenniges averaged all the roost site measurements collected for the same bird and
revised
the cumulative depth distribution function accordingly (Tr. pp. 6591-6603, 6648-6649 &
6647).
When he reran the whooping crane model with his revised cumulative depth distribution
function,
he found flows of 1,500 cfs to 1,700 cfs would produce as much roosting habitat as the
Commission staff indicated would result with a flow of some 2,400 cfs (Ex. 554, pp. 3-4).
Jenniges results and those of the Commission staff are plotted side by side in
Exhibit 554.
Return to Top of Order above
Doubts, inconsistencies and conjecture are inherent in the wetted width
index and the cumulative
depth distribution function which was used by the staff to determine the percent optimum
depth.
The uncertainties were literally compounded when the two elements were multiplied together
to
yield a suitability index. On the other hand, Jenniges efforts aimed at removing
bias appear well
founded, and his findings suggest the staff recommendations for whooping crane roosting
habitat
are numerically greater than more careful analysis might support.
In addition to the PHABSIM results, the staff presented and analyzed
records of river flow at those
times when whooping cranes chose to roost in the river (Tr. pp. 2232-2240 &
Ex. 12, pp. 21-25 &
Table 5). Without the addition of more recent data, flows during stopovers ranged from 506
cfs to
5,150 cfs. Depending on whether only the flow recorded during the first day of a stay was
counted,
whether the recorded flow for the first day of each particular roost was counted or
whether the
flow recorded for all of the days when roosting occurred was counted, the mean value
ranged from
1,591 cfs to 1,878 cfs. In like manner, median values ranged from 1,810 cfs to 2,170
cfs.
Through Wingfields input to the record, additional river flow
data were added, and the statistical
measures somewhat changed (Tr. pp. 2254-2256, 2294-2300 & 2309 & Ex.s 478,
479 & 480).
Based upon flow data for only the first day of roosting, mean and median values are
respectively,
1,848 cfs and 1,810 cfs. Except to voice objection to the inclusion of certain flow data
corresponding to times when the so-called Oklahoma bird was roosting in the river,
witnesses for
the opponents did not take exception to the updated mean and median statistics.
Carlson did not disagree with Wingfields statistics either.
Instead, he stated that the statistics
reflected only the availability of flows. He claimed the statistics do not indicate the
magnitude of
flows preferred for roosting. In order to determine whether whooping cranes preferred a
particular flow, Carlson said it was necessary to compare flows in the Platte River that
occurred
when birds roosted to flows that historically occurred during entire migration seasons
(Tr. pp. 3815-3829 & 3934-3936; also Wingfield Tr. pp. 2365-2366). For illustration he
developed the bar graphs seen in Exhibit 483. Employing only first-day-of-roost data
from 1974
to 1995, it graphically depicts the ratio of the percent of time whooping cranes have
roosted
during passage of certain ranges of flow and the percent of time those ranges of flow were
measured during each irrigation season plotted against various ranges
("intervals" in Carlsons
terms) of river flow (Tr. pp. 3815-3821 & 3865-3866).
When the ratios are compared side by side, it was said the bars
indicating larger magnitude ratios
indicated greater preferences for roosting by whooping cranes (Tr. pp. 3827-3829
& 3936).
For the spring, Carlson pointed out (Tr. pp. 3822, 3827-3829 & 3848), his Exhibit 483
indicated
2,000 cfs to 2,500 cfs was preferable. During the fall interval, preferred flows were said
to range
between 1,800 cfs to 2,000 cfs.
Carlson claimed his analysis is often used elsewhere to determine
whether animals prefer one
type of habitat over another (Tr. p. 3962). For the record, he was requested to provide a
reference
describing his analytical technique (Tr. p. 3963). He said he would, but none was ever
received.
Carlson also referred to a Kolmogorov-Smirnov statistical test (Tr. pp. 3853-3854 &
3940),
but he provided none of its results for examination.
As an initial impression, the thrust of Carlsons analysis
resembles the fishery use/habitat
availability work described by Peters. A fundamental difference, however, makes
Carlsons efforts
much different. Very simply, Peters concentrated upon the habitat. River flows, not
habitat, was
the focus of Carlsons effort.
Barring total loss due to a complete absence of river flow, fish are
full-time residents of the river.
According to Peters research, habitats are selected by fish from a range of
available choices.
But, whether river flow is great or small, when whooping cranes arrive in the Platte
valley, their
selection of roost sites is based upon a variety of factors. Habitat is only one of them.
To a degree
it is directly related to river flow. However, the existence of disturbances, the presence
of
predators and local weather conditions may also affect their choices. For reasons having
nothing to
do with river flow, they may even choose not to roost on the river. Carlsons Exhibit
483 isolates
one of the possible factors affecting roost site selection, but within the broader range
of
possibilities, it does not point to whether river flow is the most determinative element.
In addition to being fundamentally different than Peters work,
Carlsons effort is not reliable for
the purpose he claimed. His analysis did not include a full universe of available data. He
only
included flow data for days during migration seasons when whooping cranes were known to
have
roosted on the river. Omitted was river flow data for days during migration seasons when
whooping cranes chose not to roost on the river. By analogy, it is theoretically and
mathematically incorrect to claim a coin is "loaded" if it is only known heads
were tossed 100
times. Only if the number of times tails was tossed is known can the claim be dismissed
with any
level of certainty.
If laid side by side the independent work of Jenniges and Wingfield
yield results which are not
far apart. After Jenniges revised the cumulative depth distribution function and made
other
refinements, it was said the PHABSIM models indicated optimum habitat was created by flows
of
1,700 cfs. Wingfield added recently collected data to older records and computed flow
statistics
during roosting. In magnitude his results amount to about 1,800 cfs.
Return to Top of Order above
Jenniges suggested the minimum extent of habitat necessary for existing
uses could be determined
from computed optimum levels by discounting for the errors inherent in the hydraulic
parameters.
Applying his recommendation to the computed optimum number of habitat units yields a
corresponding 1,350 cfs, the flow value urged by Doyle and Orton. Recalling that there
were no
objections to Jenniges error analysis, the record supports judging his
recommendation to be
sound and reasonable. With the evidence at hand, 1,350 cfs is therefore concluded to be
the
minimum rate necessary for A-17332.ä
With that conclusion having been reached, the requirements of
§ 46-1,115(1) are next to consider.
As a means for making the necessary assessment, the statistical analyses contained in
Exhibits 573
and 576 were provided by the parties (see page 15 of this ruling for additional discussion
of those
exhibits). For the reach specified in A-17332, statistical analysis based upon records
from three
measuring stations were provided by the Commission. Statistical analysis based upon data
from
only the Grand Island station was provided in the opponents Exhibit 576.
On pages 15 and 16 of this ruling, existence of a fatal flaw in the
Overton analysis was discussed
in conjunction with one of the Commissions fishery applications. In essence, failure
to make
proper allowance for the passage of appropriated natural flows and previously impounded
supplies
passing the Overton station enroute to the Kearney Canal necessitated a disregard for that
portion
of Exhibit 573. For the same reasons discussed there, that portion of the
Commissions analysis,
which is based upon the Overton measuring station data, should not be used here as a means
to
quantify the 20 percent threshold value for the whooping crane application. Also for the
same
reasons as before, the upstream geographic extent of A-17332 should be set at a point
immediately downstream from the Kearney Canal headgate and diversion dam. No other defects
in the Commissions Exhibit 573 are seen to exist.
Like the fisheries applications, Hutchinsons remarks (Tr. pp.
1598-1599 & 1613-1615)
indicated the Commission did not, in and of itself, intend to seek the full amounts
identified in
A-17332. Effectively in partnership with the Central Platte Natural Resources District
appropriations for whooping cranes, the Commissions applications were intended only
to achieve
the flow levels specified.
After taking into account all of that, consulting Exhibit 16 (pp.
169 & 172) to determine the
magnitude of Central Plattes appropriations, and recalling the "minimum
necessary" conclusions
discussed earlier, the following table can be developed as a means to specify the
potential
maximum magnitude of the Commissions applications:
| Time Period |
"Minimum necessary" |
Central Platte NRD appropriations |
Potential Maximum
Commission grant |
| Apr. 1-14 |
1,350 cfs |
1,300 cfs (A-17008a) |
50 cfs |
| Apr. 15-May 3 |
1,350 cfs |
1,500 cfs (A-17008b) |
|
| May 4-10 |
1,350 cfs |
|
1,350 cfs |
| Oct. 1-11 |
1,350 cfs |
|
1,350 cfs |
| Oct. 12-Nov. 10 |
1,350 cfs |
1,500 cfs (A-17008c) |
|
According to Exhibit 573, Table 16X and from Exhibit 576, Table 2,
1,350 cfs is present in the
river at Grand Island more than 20 percent of the time. Exhibit 573 is more extensive
than
Exhibit 576, and for the Odessa station, its Table 9X permits reaching the same
conclusion.
Thus, if A-17332 ultimately can be approved, it should be limited to the amounts and time
periods
seen in the tabulation above. Conditioning approval of A-17332 in such a manner would
eliminate
the "inappropriate overlapping" concerns of attorneys Doyle and Orton.
Should A-17332 be allowed, the Commission would hold an appropriation
assigned a
November 30, 1993 priority date. Only appropriations upstream and junior to that date
could be
called out and denied their right to function.
The intended geographic location of A-17332 in the central Platte
valley is upstream from the
junction of the Platte and Loup Rivers. Uses of water in the Loup River basin could not be
impacted by the Commissions exercise of a priority right for whooping cranes. Thus,
the
concerns of Pinkman and Wolf are irrelevant to A-17332, and the record contains mention of
no
other extenuating circumstances to weigh. Consequently, it may be concluded granting
A-17332
would not result in interference with senior priority appropriators.
Return to Top of Order above
Public Interest
Before taking up other elements in the body of evidence, Exhibits 7 and
8 and a "Motion for
Conditions" filed by the Commissions opponents is worthy of initial discussion.
Exhibit 7 is a
copy of the official minutes, setting down actions of the Game and Parks Commission at a
July 19, 1996 meeting. Among other things, the minutes indicate the Commissioners directed
their staff and legal counsel to request certain so-called public interest exemptions,
spelled out
in Exhibit 8, be implemented by the Director of Water Resources. It was suggested the
exemptions be instituted by attaching particular terms or conditions to the approval of
the
Commissions applications; through subordination of the appropriations; or,
presumably prior
to initiation of the September 25, 1996 hearing, through amendment of the
applications.
Exhibit 8 appears generally to be the Commissions attempt to
reduce or minimize the effect
its would-be appropriations might have upon the activities of others. Hutchinson indicated
he
was its principal author (Tr. pp. 669 & 888-889). Nonetheless, his extensive testimony
indicated little understanding of how its terms were supposed to work. Having personally
seen
and heard his testimony, Hutchinsons frequent, awkward and extended pauses,
especially
during cross-examination, added to the overall uncertainty created by the contents of his
remarks (Tr. pp. 669, 889-912, 1397-1424, 1427-1454 & 1613-1624).
Beyond only general impressions, the record does not permit better
comprehending what the
Commissioners intended with their Exhibit 8 directive. As a result, the exhibit lacks
clear
meaning. For the immediate purposes at hand, therefore, Exhibit 8 may be disregarded.
The opponents "Motion for Conditions" was filed prior
to enactment of LB 877. Most of the
elements in the motion correspond directly with provisions in Section 1 of LB 877.
Several
others appear to be agency rule-making suggestions. If implemented, another of them,
element I.B.4., might run afoul of due process considerations.
In large measure the elements of the opponents motion were
adopted into law through LB 877.
There is no compelling evidence suggesting a need to disregard the provisions of LB 877
and
in their place substitute the provisions seen in the motion. As a consequence, the
opponents
"Motion for Conditions" need not be made part of this public interest review.
In their brief filed subsequent to the hearing, Doyle and Orton
discussed collectively a variety
of issues raised during the proceedings. Alternatively, Confers initial post-hearing
brief
separated the issues according to the categories designated in subsections (1) and (2) of
§ 46-2,116. Because Confers separation of issues is consistent with the clear
direction seen
in that statute, this review will follow his guidance.
Several witnesses discussed the possible instream worth of the
Commissions applications.
While he did not express it in precise dollar terms, agricultural economist Young pointed
to
expected positive intrinsic environmental benefits and to the likelihood of enhanced
recreation
and preservation values (Tr. pp. 2394-2403 & Ex. 17, pp. 25-27). To the extent it is
difficult to
quantify economic values corresponding to the Commissions applications, Harvey
(Tr. P. 7120) and Supalla (Tr. p. 7237 & Ex. 232) were heard to agree. As opposed to
"monetizing" benefits associated with required instream flows, Supalla explained
the basic
methodology for economists is to treat them as constraints needing to be met (Tr. p.
7273).
Holland claimed no credit for predictions, but his surveys were quantified. They suggest
considerable economic value stems from current fishing, hunting, boating and other outdoor
uses associated with the Platte River (Tr. pp. 4057-4151 & Ex. 28).
Sociologist Allen referenced past surveys done by researchers at the
University of Nebraska,
Bureau of Sociological Research (Exs. 18 & 19). According to the results of
their work, it
was said residents of the state place high value on recreation and environmental
qualities.
Allen said results of a more recent survey he conducted were consistent with the earlier
efforts (Tr. pp. 2881-2921 & 2993-3001).
Even though Allens response (Tr. p. 2925) to Ortons inquiry
concerning certain
"secondary data" is somewhat troubling, the bulk of his testimony relevant to
§ 46-2,116(1)
went undisputed. That the majority of people in Nebraska generally have positive attitudes
toward environmental issues and would view favorably the Commission holding
appropriations for instream flows seems undeniable.
Four witnesses familiar with the design and operation of municipal
water systems in the Platte
valley indicated approval of the Commissions applications would result in an
incidental benefit.
Miller, speaking with reference to Kearney (Tr. pp. 4153-4261), and McCafferty,
with
reference to Fremont (Tr. p. 4363), said appropriations held by the Commission would
sustain
flows necessary for the recharge of aquifers tapped by those communities wells.
Priors remarks
(Tr. pp. 5591-5608) concerning Wood River and Central City were broader in sc | |